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Bookmarks tagged with “predictions”

  1. 8 Lessons from 20 Years of Hype Cycles | Michael Mullany | LinkedIn

    Reviewing past Gartner Hype Cycles. They could do with an alternative line that forks from the trough of disillusionment down into the abyss of failure. (via @tomtaylor)

  2. The Best Way to Predict the Future is to Issue a Press Release

    Brilliant transcript of a talk by Audrey Watters on predictions about the future of technology, what they mean, why they’re wrong, etc. Very good. (via Russell Davies)

  3. Limits to Growth was right. New research shows we’re nearing collapse | Cathy Alexander and Graham Turner | Comment is free | theguardian.com

    The “Business As Usual” scenario is looking accurate, 42 years on, although we haven’t yet seen if we reach the turning points, which will be the real (unpleasant) test. (via @agpublic)

  4. The Technium: The Futurist’s Dilemma

    “Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable. … the sweet spot that science fiction authors aim for” is the point on the cusp of “plausibility and fantasy”.

  5. Wrong Tomorrow - pundits vs. time

    A fabulous way to record what predictions pundits make and keep track of how often they’re wrong (or right; you never know).

  6. Rule Forty Two - » Welcome to the Future

    Scroll some way through for evaluations of how futurists’ predictions turned out. (Although the futurists I know never called them “predictions” because we know they’re never 100% correct.) (via Boing Boing)

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