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Effect on Existing Companies

9. The companies listed below are the top twenty from the 1999 Fortune Global 500. Which do you think will be knocked from the top twenty due to Internet-based competition by 2010?

(Click graph to see larger version.)

This question was criticised by two or three respondents, and I feel little should be read into it. Few could be expected to know enough about all the companies (especially the Japanese conglomerates) to effectively rate their chances of survival, and deciding which might fail due to Internet-based competition, rather than for any other reason, is confusing.

With those reservations however, Wal-Mart is thought to be most likely to drop from the top twenty, with 34% (31% UK, 41% USA) choosing it. Nippon Telegraph and Telephone was second with 22% (23% UK, 21% USA). It should be noted that the high percentage from the rest of the world voting for IBM amounts to only 8 respondents, hence the company's total percentage is somewhat lower (20%). Again, Britons were more pessimistic, giving 3.4 votes out of 20 compared to 2.0 for Americans.

[ Sample | Summary | Voting | Access | Devices | Sites | Companies | Conclusion | Appendix ]